Friday, December 31, 2010

Pundit accountability: Which predictions did I blow in 2010?

Pundit accountability: Which predictions did I blow in 2010? - By David Weigel - Slate Magazine:
Last year the economist Bryan Caplan had a dream. 'One day,' he wrote, 'people who refuse to bet on their statements will be viewed with greater contempt than those who bet and lose.' He was talking about pundit accountability, a beautiful concept that will never be adopted, because no one wants to look stupid, and that's the inevitable result of any such plan.
Accountability for prediction failure would be gravy. The meat would be accountability for lazy, inaccurate, or biased reporting. 

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